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Everton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Goodison Park
Brentford logo

Everton
1 - 0
Brentford

Gueye (60')
Tarkowski (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Reguilon (43'), Mbeumo (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Everton confirm their Premier League survival with a 1-0 win over Brentford, who succumb to an Idrissa Gueye effort at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions
Last Game: Everton 2-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, April 24 at 8pm in Premier League

Brentford

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 1-5 Brentford
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Everton.

Result
EvertonDrawBrentford
43.95% (0.085000000000001 0.09) 25.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 30.81% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 55.32% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)48.11% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.72% (-0.09 -0.09)70.27% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)21.87% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)55.12% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.81% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)29.19% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.87% (-0.142 -0.14)65.13% (0.145 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Everton 43.95%
    Brentford 30.81%
    Draw 25.23%
EvertonDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.37% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.84% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Everton vs Brentford

Everton
64.5%
Draw
23.7%
Brentford
11.8%
186
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Doucoure (6'), Tarkowski (67'), Calvert-Lewin (71')
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> Match Report
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> Match Report
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> Preview
May 15, 2022 4.30pm
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Bech Sorensen (10'), Jensen (27'), Ajer (40')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
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> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


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