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Eritrea national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Nov 20, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stade d'Agadir
Congo national football team

Eritrea
C-C
Congo

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Eritrea and Congo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eritrea 0-1 Sudan
Saturday, January 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Morocco vs. Eritrea
Thursday, November 16 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
Last Game: Gambia 2-2 Congo
Sunday, September 10 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Zambia vs. Congo
Friday, November 17 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 83.41%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Eritrea had a probability of 4.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.99%) and 0-1 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for a Eritrea win it was 1-0 (2.02%).

Result
EritreaDrawCongo
4.9% (0.875 0.88) 11.69% (1.266 1.27) 83.41% (-2.141 -2.14)
Both teams to score 38.66% (1.877 1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.55% (-1.727 -1.73)36.45% (1.727 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.41% (-1.91 -1.91)58.59% (1.91 1.91)
Eritrea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.32% (2.321 2.32)58.68% (-2.32 -2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.04% (1.1911 1.19)89.96% (-1.191 -1.19)
Congo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.55% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)6.44% (0.758 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.88% (-2.128 -2.13)24.12% (2.129 2.13)
Score Analysis
    Eritrea 4.9%
    Congo 83.4%
    Draw 11.69%
EritreaDrawCongo
1-0 @ 2.02% (0.302 0.3)
2-1 @ 1.47% (0.258 0.26)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 4.9%
1-1 @ 5.53% (0.613 0.61)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.314 0.31)
2-2 @ 2.02% (0.279 0.28)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 11.69%
0-2 @ 14.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 12.99% (-0.63 -0.63)
0-1 @ 10.37% (0.426 0.43)
0-4 @ 8.91% (-0.861 -0.86)
1-2 @ 7.58% (0.532 0.53)
1-3 @ 6.93% (0.191 0.19)
0-5 @ 4.88% (-0.717 -0.72)
1-4 @ 4.75% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-5 @ 2.6% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-6 @ 2.23% (-0.445 -0.45)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.182 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.072 0.07)
1-6 @ 1.19% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 83.4%

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