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[monks data]
Dijon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stade Gaston Gérard
Lille

Dijon
0 - 2
Lille

FT(HT: 0-1)
Yazici (19'), Weah (90+2')

Preview: Dijon vs. Lille - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Dijon and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ligue 1's basement side play hosts to the league leaders on Wednesday evening as Dijon welcome Lille to the North-East of France.

Christophe Galtier's men jumped to the summit of French football over the weekend after Paris Saint-Germain suffered their fourth domestic defeat of the season and will see this as the perfect opportunity to cement their place at the top.


Match preview

Lille head coach Christophe Galtier pictured on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Dijon may be rooted to the foot of the Ligue 1 table, but they are also currently on a three-game unbeaten run that includes their solitary league win of the season - a 3-1 conquest over Nice at the end of last month.

Draws with Saint-Etienne and Nantes respectively have followed on from that result over Patrick Vieira's former side, although they have not been enough to lift David Linares's men away from danger.

Surprisingly, Dijon have been relatively strong defensively, with their 22 goals conceded matching the total of seventh-placed Angers; where Les Hiboux's problems lie is going forwards.

Just nine goals in 14 top-flight matches is by far the worst attacking record in the league and is of major concern for their prospects this season.

While Dijon have struggled to find the back of the net this campaign, their upcoming opponents have had no such trouble.

Lille are the second highest-scorers in the division after a Kylian Mbappe and Neymar powered PSG and will be looking to utilise their ability in the final third in midweek.

The early table-toppers are on a four-match unbeaten run domestically and will be looking to build on their 2-1 win over Bordeaux last time out.

Galtier's men lost several key names over the summer but have replaced them well. They currently lead Lyon on goal difference after picking up 29 points in 2020-21, and will need to acquire another win if they have serious ambitions of playing Champions League football next season.

They have lost just once in Ligue 1 coming into this encounter, and their joint-best defensive record means they are clear favourites for the upcoming clash.

Dijon Ligue 1 form: DDLWDD

Lille Ligue 1 form: DLWDWW
Lille form (all competitions): DDWWLW


Team News

Yusuf Yazici celebrates with Lille teammates after scoring against AC Milan on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Senegal international midfielder Pape Cheikh is available after serving a one-match ban last time out and is expected to slot straight back into the starting lineup.

Dijon have a clean bill of health and will need all of their key players on top form if they are to get anything out of this one.

Right-back Zeki Celik is Lille's solitary injury concern, with the Turkey international suffering from an ankle problem.

Who starts up-front will be Galtier's biggest decision, with Jonathan David, Burak Yilmaz and Yusuf Yazici competing for the two strikers' roles.

Dijon possible starting lineup:
Racioppi; Boey, Panzo, Manga, Muzinga; Ndong, Cheikh; Ebimbe, Celina, Chouiar; Balde

Lille possible starting lineup:
Maignan; Pied, Fonte, Botman, Mandava; Ikone, Andre, Soumare, Bamba; David, Yilmaz


SM words green background

We say: Dijon 0-3 Lille

In 2019-20 these two shared a pair of 1-0 home victories, but with their vastly opposing early fortunes, this time around it is hard to see Dijon repeating the trick at the Stade Gaston Gerard.

Lille should have too much firepower for Linares's struggling side and will likely come away comfortable winners.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Dijon win it was 1-0 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Dijon vs Lille

Dijon
8.3%
Draw
10.0%
Lille
81.7%
60
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

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Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

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Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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