We said: Slovan Bratislava 1-0 FC Pyunik
Both of these teams head into this match with the possibility of still going through to the knockout phase, and potentially winning the group itself.
Because of that, it will likely lead to a closely fought contest, but with Slovan Bratislava having the home advantage they might just scrape this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 44.14%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for FC Pyunik had a probability of 25.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.69%), while for a FC Pyunik win it was 0-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.