Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma4 - 0Brighton
FT(HT: 2-0)
The Match
Match Report
Roma put one foot in the quarter-finals of the Europa League courtesy of a 4-0 victory over Brighton & Hove Albion in the first leg of their last-16 tie in Italy.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monza 1-4 Roma
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fulham 3-0 Brighton
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Premier League
Goals
for
for
49
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
42.34% ( 0.22) | 24.29% ( 0) | 33.36% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
