MX23RW : Saturday, February 8 10:06:29| >> :600:96197:96197:
[monks data]
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Carlisle United

Gillingham
1 - 0
Carlisle

Williams (90+4')
MacDonald (45+3'), Hawkins (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garner (45+3'), Moxon (57'), Barclay (88'), Dennis (90+2'), Feeney (90+1')

Preview: Gillingham vs. Carlisle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Gillingham host promotion-chasing Carlisle United on Saturday in a meeting between two of League Two's in-form sides.

The Gills bolstered their gap to the relegation zone with a 2-1 victory against Crewe Alexandra in midweek, while Carlisle United moved back into the top three with a goalless draw with Bradford City on Tuesday.


Match preview

Gillingham manager Neil Harris reacts on January 7, 2023© Reuters

The evening ended in three more points for Gillingham against Crewe, but the triumphant manager Neil Harris was not there to hear the final whistle, skulking off after a red card for his protestations against the "shambolic decision" to rule out a late goal for Oli Hawkins - the judgement did not impact the final score as Aiden O'Brien had already cancelled out Callum Ainley's second-half equaliser to take Gillingham 10 points clear of the drop.

The former Millwall boss was drafted in by Gillingham in January 2022 to save them from relegation in League One - it did not work and 12 months later the Gills were languishing at the bottom of League Two.

Somehow Harris kept his post and has inspired his side out of the drop zone with a riotous start to the new year; Gillingham have taken 27 points from their last 14 league games - only one other League Two team can match that tally during the same time frame; Carlisle.

Gillingham have won six of their last seven home games, the only aberration being a 2-0 loss to fifth-placed Bradford City at the end of February.

Harris puts the uptick in form down to the club's change in ownership, claiming Gillingham are "united again" after American businessman Brad Galinson ended Paul Scally's hotly controversial 27-year reign as owner in December.

Gillingham new owner Brad Galinson is seen before the match on January 7, 2023© Reuters

Carlisle, by comparison, have been buzzing around the playoff spots all season and Paul Simpson has had his side sat snugly in the top four at the end of every weekend since Boxing Day.

Simpson's side are the division's top scorers - Gillingham have found the net less often than any other club - but were held to a second consecutive 0-0 draw away to Bradford City during the week, three days after second-placed Stevenage ground the same result.

Carlisle are chasing the club's first promotion since 2006 when the Cumbrians finished top of League Two just a year after bouncing straight back from the fifth tier of English football.

Simpson has his side sandwiched in the middle of a devilishly crowded race for the final two automatic promotion spots behind league-leading Leyton Orient, as Stevenage, Carlisle and Northampton Town are separated by just one point.

Saturday's match is unlikely to descend into a fight for the ball, as only Walsall have recorded less possession than Gillingham and Carlisle in England's fourth tier this season.

Both clubs may share a similar distrust of the ball, but their composure in front of goal contrasts dramatically; Gillingham have the lowest shot conversion rate in England's fourth tier while Carlisle are the division's most clinical side, finding the net with 13% of their attempts - almost twice the efficiency of their upcoming hosts.

Gillingham League Two form:

Carlisle United League Two form:


Team News

Cardiff boss Neil Harris on February 8, 2020© Reuters

Gillingham striker Scott Kashket has suffered a setback in his recovery from a groin injury - although, this may only hinder his chances of a move to England's fifth tier as a spot in the Gills starting XI has been hard to come by.

Harris had urged his players to show a response in midweek to the disappointment of limply losing to Walsall last Saturday, but the difference against Crewe was made by a substitute as O'Brien netted the winner within a minute of his arrival, providing him with a strong argument for a starting berth this weekend.

Defender Paul Huntington missed Carlisle's midweek draw with Bradford due to an abdominal injury which Simpson confirmed was "not too serious".

Joel Senior was forced off in last weekend's contest following a heavy challenge, but Simpson revealed that his removal was not due to injury, "he was just absolutely shot to pieces".

Centre-back Ben Barclay made his third appearance since August after a season plagued by injury but may well retain his place in a back three which Simpson lauded as "absolutely outstanding" after preserving a clean sheet against Bradford.

Gillingham possible starting lineup:
Morris; Alexander, Ehmer, Masterson, McKenzie; Jefferies, Williams, Dieng, O'Brien; Nichols, Hawkins

Carlisle United possible starting lineup:
Holy; Senior, Feene, Barclay, Armer, Mellish; Moxon, McCalmont, Guy; Edmondson, Dennis


SM words green background

We say: Gillingham 0-2 Carlisle United

Gillingham may be riding the crest of a good-will wave, but they have scored 33 fewer goals and collected 25 fewer points than Carlisle for a reason this season; the Cumbrians may well bring their hosts back down to Earth if they can transfer their clear dominance onto the pitch this Saturday.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


ID:509703:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11509:
Written by
Grey Whitebloom

Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Gillingham vs Carlisle

Gillingham
21.1%
Draw
5.3%
Carlisle United
73.7%
19
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Mark Hughes in charge of Southampton on September 17, 2018
Read Next:
Tuesday's League Two predictions including Bradford vs. Carlisle
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2912983629745
9Chesterfield29119948341442
10Grimsby Town29133134045-542
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2981293940-136
17Newport CountyNewport2896133747-1033
18Gillingham2795132529-432
19BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2965182746-1923
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!