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Championship header 2

League Two
Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Carlisle United

Gillingham
1 - 0
Carlisle

Williams (90+4')
MacDonald (45+3'), Hawkins (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garner (45+3'), Moxon (57'), Barclay (88'), Dennis (90+2'), Feeney (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions
Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 Crewe
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Carlisle United

 Gillingham may be riding the crest of a good-will wave, but they have scored 33 fewer goals and collected 25 fewer points than Carlisle for a reason this season; the Cumbrians may well bring their hosts back down to Earth if they can transfer their clear dominance onto the pitch this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.26%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawCarlisle United
29.49% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 28.55% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 41.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.72% (0.011999999999993 0.01)61.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)81.2% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.97%37.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.18% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.17% (0.012999999999991 0.01)28.83% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.31% (0.017000000000003 0.02)64.69% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 29.48%
    Carlisle United 41.96%
    Draw 28.54%
GillinghamDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 29.48%
1-1 @ 13.19%
0-0 @ 10.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 13.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Carlisle

Gillingham
21.1%
Draw
5.3%
Carlisle United
73.7%
19
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Gillingham
Mellish (55')
Gibson (70')

Tutonda (29'), O'Keefe (70')
Dec 19, 2017 7.45pm
Second Round
Carlisle
3-1
Gillingham
Hope (7', 37'), Miller (93')
Liddle (73'), Lambe (86'), Miller (92')
Wagstaff (47')
Clare (25'), Byrne (57'), Parker (66'), Ehmer (77'), O'Neill (91')
Dec 2, 2017 3pm
Second Round
Gillingham
1-1
Carlisle
O'Neill (5')
Clare (40')
Grainger (18' pen.)
Feb 8, 2014 3pm
Carlisle
1-2
Gillingham
Legge (90' og.)
Chimbonda (37'), Redmond (77')
Piggot (44'), McDonald (88')
Nov 2, 2013 3pm
Gillingham
1-0
Carlisle
Kedwell (63')
Legge (26')
Legge (82')

Livesey (10'), Amoo (53'), O'Hanlon (57')
Miller (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster3015784437752
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2912983629745
9Chesterfield29119948341442
10Grimsby Town29133134045-542
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2981293940-136
17Newport CountyNewport2896133747-1033
18Gillingham2795132529-432
19BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2965182746-1923
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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