Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 3-1 (6.74%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.