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Inter Miami
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Inter Miami
3 - 1
Philadelphia

Messi (26', 30'), Suarez (90+8')
Aviles (32'), Martino (33'), Suarez (75'), Messi (87'), Busquets (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Uhre (2')
Elliott (56'), Sullivan (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Inter Miami and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, September 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-1 Philadelphia Union

It does not seem to matter who is in the lineup for Miami, they always find a way to get the job done, and we do not foresee that changing against a Philly side that have been uncharacteristically inconsistent this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 55.53%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.89%) and 3-1 (6.74%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
55.53% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 20.61% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.86% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)31.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)53.33% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.38% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)11.61% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.61% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)60.49% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 55.53%
    Philadelphia Union 23.86%
    Draw 20.61%
Inter MiamiDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 6.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.4%
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.47%
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.15%
4-3 @ 1.12%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 55.53%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 6.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 2.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 20.61%
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 4.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.99%
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 23.86%

How you voted: Inter Miami vs Philadelphia

Inter Miami
95.7%
Draw
2.2%
Philadelphia Union
2.2%
46
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2024 12.30am
Philadelphia
1-2
Inter Miami
Uhre (3')
Bedoya (34'), Wagner (64'), Flach (83')
Gressel (47'), Afonso (90+4')
Ruiz (32'), Aviles (66'), Campana (82'), Alba (83')
Ruiz (69'), Aviles (84')
Jun 25, 2023 12.30am
Philadelphia
4-1
Inter Miami
Glesnes (14'), Carranza (39'), Flach (45+4'), Ruiz (68' og.)
Uhre (15'), Andres Martinez (24')
Taylor (50')
Robinson (84')
Mar 5, 2023 12.30am
Jul 14, 2022 1am
Inter Miami
1-2
Philadelphia
Higuain (82')
Duke (45+3'), Lowe (88'), Sailor (90+6')
Gazdag (26' pen.), Burke (66')
Bedoya (79')
May 19, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
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