We said: West Ham United 2-0 Fulham
Despite being the fresher team having not competed in midweek, we think the likely absence of Mitrovic could have a seriously negative impact on Fulham's chances of avoiding defeat.
West Ham appear to have some influential players finally hitting form, and we can see them securing a second successive home win on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.