Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lazio 0-1 Torino
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, April 22 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Roma
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Torino 0-1 Atalanta BC
This season, Torino have won only five of their 15 games at home, scoring a mere 12 goals in the process. As Atalanta are apparently clicking into gear at just the right time, they can complete the double over their hosts and pile pressure on teams just above them in the Serie A standings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Torino had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Atalanta BC |
32.29% ( -0.05) | 27.53% ( 0) | 40.18% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
