Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.