CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 15, 2024 at 1am UK
Independence Park
Jamaica0 - 1USA
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Honduras
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Venezuela | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mexico | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Jamaica | 3 | -6 | 0 |
We said: Jamaica 1-2 USA
USA face a tough test on Friday against a Jamaica side rejuvenated under the management of Steve McClaren, but Mauricio Pochettino's side should have the quality throughout their ranks to prevail on the day and take a lead into their quarter-final home leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 30.39% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.01%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 1-0 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for USA in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for USA.
| Result | ||
| Jamaica | Draw | USA |
30.39% ( -0.03) | 28.97% ( -0) | 40.64% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 44.06% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
