Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Rothis had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Rothis win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schwarz-Weiss Bregenz would win this match.
-0.03) 
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