Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Jerusalem win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Jerusalem would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Jerusalem	Draw	Maccabi Petah Tikva
47.31% ( -0.16)	26.28% ( 0.03)	26.41% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 49.25% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.31% (

-0.06)

54.68% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98% (

-0.05)

76.01% (

0.05)

Hapoel Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.88% (

-0.1)

23.11% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.02% (

-0.15)

56.97% (

0.14)

Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.06% (

0.07)

35.93% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.28% (

0.07)

72.71% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Hapoel Jerusalem 47.3%

Maccabi Petah Tikva 26.41%

Draw 26.28%

Hapoel Jerusalem	Draw	Maccabi Petah Tikva
1-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 47.3%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 26.41%