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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Burnley |
44.06% ( 0.16) | 25.25% ( 0.13) | 30.69% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.78% ( -0.66) | 48.22% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% ( -0.61) | 70.38% ( 0.61) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% ( -0.21) | 21.87% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.88% ( -0.31) | 55.12% ( 0.31) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.68% ( -0.52) | 29.32% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.7% ( -0.65) | 65.3% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.06% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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