Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Juve Stabia win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.