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Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Jun 26, 2020 at 9pm UK
Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Real Valladolid logo

Sevilla
1 - 1
Real Valladolid

Ocampos (83' pen.)
Fernando (12'), Kounde (58'), Vazquez (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Olivas (25')
Hervias (71'), Sanchez (82')

Preview: Sevilla vs. Valladolid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Real Valladolid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Sevilla will be looking to reclaim third position in Spain's top flight when they continue their 2019-20 campaign at home to Real Valladolid on Friday night.

Julen Lopetegui's side are currently fourth in the table, two points behind third-placed Atletico Madrid, while Valladolid occupy 15th position, eight points clear of the bottom three.


Match preview

Sevilla's Fernando celebrates scoring their second goal against Real Betis on June 11, 2020© Reuters

Sevilla are unbeaten in their last eight La Liga matches, but they have drawn four of their last five in Spain's top flight, including a 2-2 with Villarreal on Monday evening.

Lopetegui's side have enjoyed a strong campaign overall and sit fourth in the division, two points behind third-placed Atletico, who are next in action against Alaves on Saturday night.

As a result, a win for the home side on Friday would see them return to third, and a spot in next season's Champions League is very much in the club's sights at this stage.

Sevilla have actually shared the points with Levante, Barcelona and Villarreal since returning to action in the middle of June, but they will be keen to return to winning ways at the Estadio Ramon.

Atletico Madrid's Hector Herrera in action with Real Valladolid's Mohammed Salisu in La Liga on October 6, 2019© Reuters

Valladolid, meanwhile, currently occupy 15th spot in the table, having picked up 34 points from their 31 matches this season, which has left them eight points clear of the bottom three.

Pucela finished 16th in La Liga last term, and a similar spot this time around would be deemed a success as they look to consolidate at the top level following four years in the Segunda Division.

It is difficult to imagine Sergio Gonzalez's side getting pulled into deep trouble at this stage, and they will enter this match off the back of a decent point at home to Getafe.

Valladolid have only won one of their last six in Spain's top flight, though, and will still be slightly wary of being dragged into the mix if they do not pick up a victory in their next few matches.

Sevilla La Liga form: WDWDDD
Sevilla form (all competitions): WDWDDD

Valladolid La Liga form: LLWDLD


Team News

Sevilla's Lucas Ocampos pictured in February 2020© Reuters

Sevilla's squad is in excellent shape at the moment in terms of injuries, with Lopetegui, as it stands, having a full complement to choose from heading into Friday's contest.

The head coach shuffled his pack for the 2-2 draw with Villarreal on Monday but there are expected to be wholesale changes for this match with Munir El Haddadi, Lucas Ocampos, Jesus Navas and Luuk de Jong among those likely to return to the starting side.

Oliver Torres could also return to the middle of the park, meaning that experienced Argentine Ever Banega is likely to drop out of the selection.

As for Valladolid, Pedro Porro and Sandro Ramirez remain doubts, but the visitors did not pick up any fresh problems in the draw with Getafe on Tuesday night.

Gonzalez has made use of his bench since the five-substitute ruling was issued, meaning that it would not be a surprise to see the same XI that started last time out again feature here.

Pablo Hervias and Kiko Olivas are among those pushing for starts, but Sergi Guardiola and Enes Unal are likely to continue as the front two in a 4-2-2 formation.

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Vaclik; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Reguilon; Torres, Fernando, Jordan; Munir, De Jong, Ocampos

Valladolid possible starting lineup:
Masip; Martinez, Salisu, Joaquin, Moyano; Suarez, Alcaraz, Fede, Plano; Guardiola, Unal


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Sevilla 2-0 Valladolid

Valladolid are certainly capable of making it a difficult 90 minutes for Sevilla, but we fancy the hosts to put an important three points on the board. A number of Sevilla players will be fresh for Friday's affair, and we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a comfortable home success.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 67.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 12.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.


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Sevilla manager Julen Lopetegui pictured in February 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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