We said: Caykur Rizespor 1-0 Gaziantep
While Rizespor have experienced a drop-off since the New Year, they have maintained an above-average home record, conceding only once in their last five matches at Caykur Didi Stadyumu. This should be a tight and tactical match and we feel that the first goal could easily end up being the winner.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.