Kasimpasa2 - 3Istanbul
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 21 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 2 | 54 |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 38 | 10 | 53 |
| 12 | Hatayspor | 38 | -4 | 53 |
Sunday, May 22 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Konyaspor | 38 | 21 | 68 |
| 4 | Istanbul Basaksehir | 38 | 20 | 65 |
| 5 | Alanyaspor | 38 | 9 | 64 |
We said: Kasimpasa 1-2 Istanbul Basaksehir
Hoping to end the season in different form to how they started it, a victory will go a long way to securing Basaksehir's position in Europe. Kasimpasa will provide a stubborn test, but a Basaksehir victory remains the most likely outcome this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kasimpasa | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
| 33.32% | 25.12% | 41.56% |
| Both teams to score 56.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
