Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
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