Chornomorets

1 - 4

Polissya

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Polissya Zhytomyr win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Polissya Zhytomyr win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Chornomorets Odesa win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Polissya Zhytomyr would win this match.