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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Ynysangharad Park

Pontypridd
0 - 3
Pen-y-Bont


Davies (47'), Wright (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kircough (11'), Venables (21', 66')
Evans (40'), McFayden (51')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pontypridd United and Pen-y-Bont.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pontypridd 0-0 Aberystwyth
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-3 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, April 6 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 55.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Pontypridd Town AFC win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pen-y-Bont would win this match.

Result
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
20.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 55.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.66% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)49.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.61% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)71.39% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)38.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.97%75.02% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)17.55% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.91% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)48.09% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pontypridd Town AFC 20.68%
    Pen-y-Bont 55.7%
    Draw 23.6%
Pontypridd Town AFCDrawPen-y-Bont
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-1 @ 5.39% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.73% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.5%
3-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 20.68%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 11.68%
0-2 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-3 @ 5.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 2.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 55.7%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Pontypridd

Reynolds (10'), Ware (51')
Leo Martins (84')
Lewis (69'), Davies (71'), Green (82'), Vaughan (87'), Leo Martins (90+6')
Dec 31, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Pen-y-Bont
1-0
Pontypridd
Richards (40')
Evans (60'), Borge (90+2')
Evans (81')

Davies (41'), Knott (47'), Cummings (54')
Aug 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Pontypridd
0-0
Pen-y-Bont
Green (22'), Vaughan (44'), Ahmun (83'), Davies (85'), Ratcliffe (90')
Vaughan (89'), Ahmun (90+1')
Jefferies (32')
Dec 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Pontypridd
0-1
Pen-y-Bont
Vincent (54')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Pontypridd
Whitmore (34')
Wright (42')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
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