We said: Venezuela 2-1 Honduras
With Honduras expected to prioritise fitness and strategy, they are less likely to focus on the outcome at Audi Field, possibly giving Venezuela the edge in the game.
La Vinotinto's last four friendlies have seen both teams score, and the same could continue against the Central American nation.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Venezuela would win this match.