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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Portland Timbers

Austin
0 - 2
Portland


Zardes (47'), Jimenez (50'), Hines-Ike (64'), Fodrey (74'), Pereira (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Evander (45+3'), Rodriguez (66' pen.)
Paredes (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Austin
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Kansas
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-0 Portland Timbers

Austin will be licking their lips as they take on an inconsistent Portland side who have failed to win their last seven away matches. Wolff's men have been near impenetrable at the Q2 Stadium this season and we see them claiming all three points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 27.14% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
50.18% (0.080000000000005 0.08) 22.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 27.14% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 61.62% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.29% (-0.161 -0.16)38.71% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.98% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)61.02% (0.169 0.17)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)15.66% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.31% (-0.055 -0.05)44.69% (0.055 0.05)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.06% (-0.15199999999999 -0.15)26.94% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.73% (-0.199 -0.2)62.27% (0.199 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 50.18%
    Portland Timbers 27.14%
    Draw 22.67%
Austin FCDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.051 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.48% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 50.18%
1-1 @ 10.25% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.67%
1-2 @ 6.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 27.14%

How you voted: Austin vs Portland

Austin FC
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Portland Timbers
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2023 1.30am
Austin
1-2
Portland
Driussi (75')
Wolff (57'), Cascante (61')
Mora (39'), Evander (65')
Antony (90+7')
May 7, 2023 3.30am
Sep 1, 2022 3.51am
Mar 13, 2022 3am
Portland
1-0
Austin
Tuiloma (62')
Chara (53'), Paredes (57'), Blanco (90+6')

Dominguez (49'), Driussi (50'), Kolmanic (50'), Pereira (60'), Valencia (90+5')
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 44
Portland
3-0
Austin
Paredes (17'), Niezgoda (45+1'), Blanco (53')

Berhalter (47')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
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3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

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3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

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1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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