MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 11:23:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 13
Jul 1, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stora Valla

Degerfors
0 - 2
Varnamo


Korac (38'), Mammar Chaouche (85'), Orqvist (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ademi (25'), Nasstrom (81')
Grozdanic (57'), Zeljkovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Degerfors and Varnamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kalmar 2-1 Degerfors
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Varnamo 1-3 Malmo
Saturday, June 10 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Degerfors 1-1 Varnamo

With both teams currently on course to achieve their primary aim of survival, we can envisage them adopting a safety first approach in this match. Degerfors have been conceding far too many goals so far this season, so it would be little surprise to see them attempt to tighten things up. We are a predicting a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
DegerforsDrawVarnamo
39.98% (-6.519 -6.52) 26.3% (1.025 1.03) 33.72% (5.491 5.49)
Both teams to score 52.88% (-0.796 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (-2.174 -2.17)51.74% (2.171 2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-1.919 -1.92)73.51% (1.915 1.92)
Degerfors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-4.112 -4.11)25.44% (4.107 4.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.73% (-5.978 -5.98)60.26% (5.974 5.97)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.92% (2.691 2.69)29.07% (-2.696 -2.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35% (3.204 3.2)64.99% (-3.209 -3.21)
Score Analysis
    Degerfors 39.97%
    Varnamo 33.72%
    Draw 26.29%
DegerforsDrawVarnamo
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.56% (-0.715 -0.72)
2-0 @ 6.93% (-1.159 -1.16)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.87 -0.87)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-1.004 -1)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.326 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.508 -0.51)
4-0 @ 1.08% (-0.527 -0.53)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.5 0.5)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.62 0.62)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.14% (1.366 1.37)
1-2 @ 7.73% (0.842 0.84)
0-2 @ 5.64% (1.188 1.19)
1-3 @ 3.18% (0.55 0.55)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.621 0.62)
2-3 @ 2.18% (0.145 0.15)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.228 0.23)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 33.72%

How you voted: Degerfors vs Varnamo

Degerfors
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
Varnamo
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 2pm
Apr 25, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 5
Varnamo
2-0
Degerfors
Johansson (5'), Antonsson (56')
Johansson (11')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo30198367254265
2HammarbyHammarby30166848252354
3AIK FotbollAIK30173104641554
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden30165945351053
5Mjallby AIF3014884435950
6GAISGAIS30146103634248
7ElfsborgElfsborg30136115244845
8HackenHacken30126125451342
9SiriusSirius30125134746141
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna30810124653-734
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping3097143657-2134
12Halmstads BKHalmstad30103173250-1833
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg30710133343-1031
14Varnamo30710133040-1031
15KalmarKalmar3086163858-2030
16Vasteras SKVasteras3065192643-1723


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