Djurgardens IF have a fantastic recent record against Malmo, winning the last three matches between the two sides, and their form has really picked up in recent weeks.
While it is likely to be a closely-contested game, Djurgarden should be able to get over the line, especially considering they have the best home record in the Allsvenskan so far this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Djurgardens IF win with a probability of 37.07%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Malmo win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Djurgardens IF would win this match.
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