Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Shakhtyor Soligorsk had a probability of 11.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.84%) and 1-2 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a Shakhtyor Soligorsk win it was 1-0 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Neman in this match.