Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Atletico Paso had a probability of 11.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.64%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for an Atletico Paso win it was 1-0 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.