MX23RW : Saturday, February 1 20:44:36| >> :600:2417489:2417489:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Kapital Bank Arena

Sumqayit
1 - 2
Fehervar

Abdullazada (20')
Xacayev (8'), Vujnovic (22'), Dzhenetov (32'), Muradov (67'), Abdullazada (73')
Xacayev (32')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Christensen (39'), Spandler (52')
Serafimov (15'), Peto (65'), Larsen (68')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Sumqayit and Fehervar.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Sumqayit 0-2 Cukaricki
Thursday, July 29 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fehervar 2-2 Goztepe SK
Wednesday, July 17 at 9.30am in Club Friendlies 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Sumqayit had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Sumqayit win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.

Result
SumqayitDrawFehervar
32.34% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 26.79% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 40.86% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.93% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.93% (0.061 0.06)54.07% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.5% (0.048999999999999 0.05)75.5% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Sumqayit Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (0.024999999999991 0.02)31.15% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (0.027999999999999 0.03)67.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Fehervar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (0.042000000000002 0.04)26.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.93% (0.055999999999997 0.06)61.07% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Sumqayit 32.34%
    Fehervar 40.86%
    Draw 26.79%
SumqayitDrawFehervar
1-0 @ 9.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.15%
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 32.34%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.11% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.79%
0-1 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.34%
1-3 @ 3.84% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 40.86%

rhs 2.0
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