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Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Cardiff
5 - 0
Plymouth

Robertson (16'), Colwill (24'), El Ghazi (52'), Robinson (75'), Willock (80')
Robinson (39'), Ng (42'), Robertson (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Edwards (88')
Cissoko (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Cardiff
Sunday, October 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Blackburn
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Plymouth Argyle

With Plymouth improving under Rooney, they will back themselves to earn at least a share of the spoils in South Wales. However, we are backing the home side to come through a competitive fixture, pushing hard in the latter stages to secure the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 47.61%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
47.61% (0.309 0.31) 25.35% (-0.166 -0.17) 27.04% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 52.54% (0.406 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.37% (0.587 0.59)50.63% (-0.583 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46% (0.515 0.52)72.54% (-0.51100000000001 -0.51)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (0.379 0.38)21.28% (-0.375 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.79% (0.583 0.58)54.21% (-0.578 -0.58)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (0.2 0.2)33.25% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.219 0.22)69.86% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 47.6%
    Plymouth Argyle 27.04%
    Draw 25.34%
Cardiff CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.043999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.47% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 47.6%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.79% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-2 @ 6.64% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.04%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Plymouth

Cardiff City
56.0%
Draw
14.0%
Plymouth Argyle
30.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 28
Plymouth
3-1
Cardiff
Hardie (31', 52'), Whittaker (81')
Phillips (35'), Miller (41'), Mumba (50'), Scarr (61')
Ng (10')
Meite (36'), Ng (38')
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Cardiff
2-2
Plymouth
Butcher (31' og.), Grant (47')
Whittaker (17', 66')
Gibson (44')
Jul 21, 2017 7pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Cardiff
Zohore (49')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Plymouth

Bothroyd (33')
Sawyer (84')
Johnson (18'), Fallon (29'), Larrieu (49'), Fletcher (67')
Aug 18, 2009 3pm
Plymouth
1-3
Cardiff
Gow (90' pen.)
Sawyer (24')
Chopra (4', 80', 85')
Capaldi (28'), Matthews (36')
Capaldi (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
19Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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