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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Millwall.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
58.31% ( 0.71) | 23.29% ( -0.31) | 18.39% ( -0.41) |
Both teams to score 48.18% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.91% ( 0.63) | 51.08% ( -0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.06% ( 0.55) | 72.94% ( -0.56) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.75% ( 0.49) | 17.24% ( -0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.44% ( 0.85) | 47.55% ( -0.86) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.21% ( -0.11) | 41.78% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.75% ( -0.09) | 78.25% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 12.66% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.65% Total : 58.31% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 18.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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