Segunda Division | 1st Leg

Jun 8, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo
0 - 0
Eibar

(Real Oviedo win 2-0 on aggregate)

Sanchez (61'), Rozada (72'), Dubasin (89')

Stoichkov (6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Eibar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions

Last Game: Eibar 4-3 Real Oviedo
Sunday, June 2 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eibar

All competitions

Last Game: Eibar 4-3 Real Oviedo
Sunday, June 2 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Oviedo 1-1 Eibar

This is shaping up to be a fascinating contest, especially as the two sides played out a seven-goal thriller on Sunday. This game should be a lot tighter, with a low-scoring draw potentially on the cards, which would leave the tie delicately poised ahead of the second leg of the semi-final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 44.08%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Real Oviedo	Draw	Eibar
44.08% ( -0.66)	27.17% ( 0.21)	28.74% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 48.24% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.24% (

-0.57)

56.76% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.3% (

-0.46)

77.7% (

0.46)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.41% (

-0.59)

25.58% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.54% (

-0.81)

60.46% (

0.81)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.83% (

0.05)

35.16% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.08% (

0.05)

71.91% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Real Oviedo 44.08%

Eibar 28.74%

Draw 27.16%

Real Oviedo	Draw	Eibar
1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.08%	1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.74%