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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
2 - 0
Caykur Rizespor

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Caykur Rizespor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 2-2 Hatayspor
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 0-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 2-1 Caykur Rizespor

With their season potentially hinging on the outcome of Sunday's clash, we expect Hatayspor to throw in the kitchen sink in search of all three points. We predict that Pulat's men will take the positives from their draw at Besiktas and come away with a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawCaykur Rizespor
47.28% (0.183 0.18) 24.09% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 28.62% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.85% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (0.058 0.06)44.2% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.42% (0.059000000000005 0.06)66.58% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.097999999999999 0.1)18.84% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.164 0.16)50.28% (-0.164 -0.16)
Caykur Rizespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)28.72% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)64.55% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 47.28%
    Caykur Rizespor 28.63%
    Draw 24.09%
HataysporDrawCaykur Rizespor
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.28%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.63%

How you voted: Hatayspor vs Caykur Rizespor

Hatayspor
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Caykur Rizespor
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 10.30am
Gameweek 19
Caykur Rizespor
2-0
Hatayspor
Varesanovic (19'), Olawoyin (82')

Ghoulam (56'), Hodzic (63')
Jan 23, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 23
Hatayspor
0-0
Caykur Rizespor
Ergun (83'), Ribeiro (90+4'), Adekugbe (90+5')
Holmen (64')
Sep 12, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 30
Caykur Rizespor
1-0
Hatayspor
Boldrin (71')
Skoda (9'), Samudio (36'), Akkan (44'), Dokovic (44'), Moroziuk (90')

David (44'), Katranis (45+1'), Boupendza (53'), Santos (89')
Nov 22, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 9
Hatayspor
2-2
Caykur Rizespor
Aabid (35'), Boupendza (90+7')
Sackey (63')
Biram Diouf (12' og.), Boldrin (64')
Meriah (25'), Durak (70')
rhs 2.0
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray76102381519
2Fenerbahce75111651116
3BesiktasBesiktas65101441016
4Samsunspor7502116515
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul6411138513
6EyupsporEyupspor7331128412
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK623111749
8Bodrumspor7304810-29
9AlanyasporAlanyaspor723279-29
10TrabzonsporTrabzonspor61506518
11KonyasporKonyaspor7223810-28
12SivassporSivasspor722368-28
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor7223914-58
14KasimpasaKasimpasa7142911-27
15GaziantepGaziantep6114610-44
16Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor7115315-124
17KayserisporKayserispor6033512-73
18Hatayspor6024410-62
19Adana Demirspor7016617-111


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