Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pevidem win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montalegre had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pevidem win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Montalegre win it was 1-0 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.