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Leicester logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
King Power Stadium
Newport County

Leicester
3 - 0
Newport

Justin (44'), Vardy (70', 82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Leicester City and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 0-2 Leicester
Saturday, November 5 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Leicester City 4-0 Newport County

As impressive as Newport have been on home soil recently, winning away from home has not been so simple for the League Two side, who should not expect miracles at the King Power. Leicester will certainly not field a full-strength XI, but with form on their side and an impeccable defensive record to boast about, we expect the Foxes to cruise through to round four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawNewport County
51.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)49.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7% (0.036000000000001 0.04)71.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)19.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (0.011999999999993 0.01)50.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.042000000000002 0.04)34.95% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.043999999999997 0.04)71.69% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 51.44%
    Newport County 24.1%
    Draw 24.45%
Leicester CityDrawNewport County
1-0 @ 11.05% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.45%
0-1 @ 7.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Leicester vs Newport

Leicester City
89.9%
Draw
2.5%
Newport County
7.6%
79
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2019 4.30pm
Newport
2-1
Leicester
Matt (10'), Amond (85' pen.)
Ghezzal (82')
Okazaki (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Arsenal105321711618
5Aston Villa95311611518
6Chelsea95221911817
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
8Bournemouth104331312115
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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