We say: Nice 2-1 Basel
Nice have scored in every European fixture this season, but they are still yet to keep a clean sheet at the Riviera on the continent, so a similar scoreline to last week's 2-2 draw could be on the cards.
Basel's last three UECL fixtures have finished 2-2, and a repeat of that - the route in which they navigated through their last 16 tie with Slovan Bratislava, going through on penalties - may be their best hope.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Basel had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%).