MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 10:38:20| >> :60:455:455:
Mexico national football team
International Friendly
Nov 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Soldier Field
Iraq national football team

Mexico
4 - 0
Iraq

Vega (4'), Funes Mori (48'), Gallardo (67'), Uriel (90+2' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mexico vs. Sweden
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Syria 0-1 Iraq
Monday, September 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Iraq vs. Ecuador
Saturday, November 12 at 12am in International Friendlies

We said: Mexico 1-0 Iraq

Neither team have been convincing since the end of qualifying, but El Tri have faced much more formidable opponents, while Iraq are in a transitional phase looking to develop its next generation, so we will give the experienced Mexicans the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.21%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawIraq
57.53% (0.071000000000005 0.07) 26.5% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 15.97% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 36.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.09% (0.012 0.01)64.9% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.18% (0.010999999999999 0.01)83.82% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (0.036000000000001 0.04)22.99% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (0.052 0.05)56.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
Iraq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.86% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)53.13% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.26% (-0.035 -0.04)86.73% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 57.52%
    Iraq 15.97%
    Draw 26.49%
MexicoDrawIraq
1-0 @ 17.96% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 13.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.47% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 57.52%
0-0 @ 12.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-1 @ 11.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 7.73% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 15.97%

How you voted: Mexico vs Iraq

Mexico
81.9%
Draw
8.5%
Iraq
9.6%
94
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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