MX23RW : Saturday, February 15 08:56:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Le Havre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stade Oceane
Brest logo

Le Havre
0 - 1
Brest


Sangante (1'), Ayew (4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ajorque (25')
Camara (7'), Faivre (22'), Ajorque (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-1 Le Havre
Sunday, January 19 at 4.15pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Shakhtar 2-0 Brest
Wednesday, January 22 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Le Havre 0-2 Brest

Booking a place in the Champions League knockout phase has enabled Brest to focus their attention on the domestic campaign, and they are beginning to find their form in Ligue 1. Their opponents are in a tailspin and struggling to find any quality in the attacking third, and we believe that will continue Sunday seeing as Stade Brestois have had their way with the Normandy club through the years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Brest in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brest.

Result
Le HavreDrawBrest
21.79% (0.302 0.3) 24.69% (0.079000000000001 0.08) 53.51% (-0.386 -0.39)
Both teams to score 49.16% (0.161 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)52.43% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.1% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Le Havre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1% (0.309 0.31)38.89% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.38% (0.292 0.29)75.62% (-0.295 -0.3)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.148 -0.15)19.55% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.54% (-0.242 -0.24)51.45% (0.238 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Le Havre 21.8%
    Brest 53.5%
    Draw 24.68%
Le HavreDrawBrest
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.057 0.06)
2-1 @ 5.53% (0.066 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.39% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.74% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.07% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 21.8%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.68%
0-1 @ 12.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 10.12% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 9.57% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.2% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.25% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.12% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 53.5%

How you voted: Le Havre vs Brest

Le Havre
9.6%
Draw
25.0%
Brest
65.4%
52
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 7
Brest
2-0
Le Havre
Ajorque (12'), Salah (90+2')
Haidara (17'), Ndiaye (25'), Lees-Melou (79')
Haidara (73')
Mar 3, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 24
Brest
1-0
Le Havre
Lees-Melou (34')
Del Castillo (52'), Martin (72'), Satriano (76'), Lees-Melou (83')

El Hajjam (55')
Aug 20, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 2
Le Havre
1-2
Brest
Kuzyaev (52')
Del Castillo (28'), Brassier (56')
Camara (47'), Camblan (89')
Feb 1, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 23
Le Havre
1-1
Brest
Bain (24')
Assifuah (17'), Bonnet (53')
Ferhat (39')
Charbonnier (48')
Belkebla (31'), Court (33')
Chardonnet (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG21165058203853
2Marseille21134445252043
3Nice21107441261537
4MonacoMonaco2111463728937
5Lille2198434221235
6Lyon2196636261033
7Lens219662520533
8Brest22102103538-332
9StrasbourgStrasbourg218673532330
10Toulouse217682324-127
11Auxerre226793137-625
12Rennes2172122930-123
13Angers2165102231-923
14Reims215792633-722
15NantesNantes214982432-821
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2153131945-2618
17Le HavreLe Havre2152141740-2317
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2143142048-2815


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