Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Cangzhou Mighty Lions win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Changchun Yatai would win this match.

Result
Changchun Yatai	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
45.5% ( -0.84)	25.21% ( 0.43)	29.28% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 54.54% (

-1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.25% (

-1.67)

48.74% (

1.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.15% (

-1.54)

70.85% (

1.53)

Changchun Yatai Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.57% (

-1.05)

21.43% (

1.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.55% (

-1.65)

54.44% (

1.65)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.42% (

-0.57)

30.57% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.19% (

-0.68)

66.8% (

0.68)

Score Analysis

Changchun Yatai 45.5%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions 29.28%

Draw 25.21%

Changchun Yatai	Draw	Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.5%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.06% Total : 29.28%