Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 20, 2022 at 11.15am UK
IJsseldelta Stadion
PEC Zwolle1 - 1Groningen
FT(HT: 0-1)
We said: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Groningen
At one stage this season, both clubs would have regarded this contest as a must win. However, there is an argument that it is now a must-not-lose, something which leads us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 24.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Groningen |
| 49.43% | 25.89% | 24.68% |
| Both teams to score 48.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
