Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beitar Jerusalem win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Maccabi Petah Tikva had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beitar Jerusalem win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Maccabi Petah Tikva win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beitar Jerusalem would win this match.

Result
Beitar Jerusalem	Draw	Maccabi Petah Tikva
39.74% ( -0.6)	25.66% ( 0.17)	34.6% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 55.19% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.14% (

-0.66)

48.86% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.05% (

-0.6)

70.95% (

0.6)

Beitar Jerusalem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.74% (

-0.6)

24.26% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.38% (

-0.86)

58.62% (

0.86)

Maccabi Petah Tikva Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86% (

-0.05)

27.13% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.47% (

-0.07)

62.53% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Beitar Jerusalem 39.74%

Maccabi Petah Tikva 34.6%

Draw 25.66%

Beitar Jerusalem	Draw	Maccabi Petah Tikva
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.89% Total : 39.74%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 34.6%