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Liverpool logo
Premier League | Gameweek 31
Apr 2, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Anfield
Watford logo

Liverpool
2 - 0
Watford

Jota (22'), Fabinho (89' pen.)
Gomez (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Liverpool vs. Watford - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With 16 places and 47 points separating them in the Premier League table, Liverpool and Watford resume top-flight action with Saturday's lunchtime kickoff at Anfield.

The second-placed Reds find themselves just one point behind Manchester City at the summit, while Roy Hodgson's side are three points adrift of safety in 18th.


Match preview

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp on March 16, 2022© Reuters

Only a couple of months after Liverpool had seemingly conceded the crown to Man City once again, we have a title race on our hands, and Jurgen Klopp's side are showing no signs of faltering as they continue their pursuit of an unprecedented quadruple.

Diogo Jota's close-range effort against Nottingham Forest saw Liverpool advance to the semi-finals of the FA Cup just before the international break - with the FA controversially refusing to move the fixture from Wembley despite travel disruption - and there is the small matter of next week's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Benfica to come as well.

With their only defeat in any competition since the turn of the year being that inconsequential loss to Inter Milan on their own turf, Liverpool are now within touching distance of Man City at the summit before the two heavyweights meet in a mouthwatering showdown on April 10 and would go top with a win here for at least a couple of hours before the champions meet Burnley.

It is now nine Premier League victories in a row for this rampant Liverpool outfit - who have kept clean sheets in each of their last four in the top flight and have scored 23 in their sparkling winning run - and Anfield is not often a happy hunting ground for visiting teams.

Indeed, Klopp's crop welcome Watford to Merseyside having won each of their last nine Premier League games at Anfield - where they are unbeaten domestically for over a year - and their tally of seven home goals conceded this term is unlikely to worsen against the goal-shy Hornets.

Watford manager Roy Hodgson on March 13, 2022© Reuters

Roy Hodgson's stint in the home dugout at Anfield may have been incredibly short-lived, but the 74-year-old is no stranger to taking his spot in the visiting end, and he may just have uncovered a hidden gem in his side's fight against the drop.

A couple of weeks on from his stunning yet inconsequential bicycle kick against Arsenal, Cucho Hernandez was at the double for Watford to propel them to a crucial 2-1 victory over Southampton at St Mary's, with the Hornets holding on for the entire second half after Mohamed Elyounoussi's effort.

Hernandez has had to be patient for his opportunities in black and yellow but has certainly staked his claim for a regular first-team role now - Colombia could have done with him after missing out on a spot in the World Cup - but Watford's survival destiny is still out of their own hands.

Indeed, Hodgson's side remain below the dotted line in 18th and sit three points adrift of 17th-placed Everton - who have two games in hand - but a record of just two defeats from their last seven league games away from home is a cause for slight optimism.

However, Liverpool produced a five-star showing to thrash their upcoming opponents 5-0 at Vicarage Road back in October, and Watford are on a six-game Premier League losing run at Anfield since Graham Taylor oversaw a 1-0 win in August 1999.

Liverpool Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Watford Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Trent Alexander-Arnold warms up for Liverpool in January 2022© Reuters

Liverpool defender Trent Alexander-Arnold is fighting to recover from his hamstring injury in time for Saturday's game, but the midweek encounter with Benfica is a more realistic aim for the Premier League's leading creator.

Naby Keita will need assessing after pulling out of international duty with a "minor" knee issue, but James Milner and Andy Robertson are expected to be available again following recent COVID-19 infections.

With Mohamed Salah and Sadio Mane both going the distance in their pivotal World Cup qualifier, Klopp may elect to rotate a tad for Saturday's game, with Liverpool facing an unforgiving run of fixtures over the Easter period.

As for Watford, Jeremy Ngakia was once again absent for the Southampton win but should be fine to return here, while Nicolas Nkoulou could also apply for a place in the squad.

Hodgson may be tempted to bring in another defender or two to try to keep the scoreline respectable, but the veteran boss has little reason to alter the winning formula from St Mary's.

Such a setup would see Joao Pedro and Emmanuel Dennis join Hernandez in the final third, but Ismaila Sarr returned from injury for Senegal during the international break and could force his way in.

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Gomez, Matip, Van Dijk, Robertson; Henderson, Fabinho, Thiago; Salah, Firmino, Jota

Watford possible starting lineup:
Foster; Femenia, Kabasele, Samir, Kamara; Louza, Sissoko, Kucka; Hernandez, Pedro, Dennis


SM words green background

We say: Liverpool 3-0 Watford

Losing creator-in-chief Alexander-Arnold - even for an expected short amount of time - is a massive blow for this Liverpool side, but Klopp will still expect his XI to break down their opponents with ease at Anfield.

Kicking off a daunting April with a routine three points is a must for the Reds, and we can only envisage the hosts bringing Watford crashing back down to earth with a straightforward success.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 83.96%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 4.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.79%) and 1-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (1.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Liverpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Liverpool.


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Game History

How you voted: Liverpool vs Watford

Liverpool
85.8%
Draw
8.1%
Watford
6.2%
260
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Trent Alexander-Arnold warms up for Liverpool in January 2022
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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