Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for York City had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | York City |
46.57% ( 0) | 24.53% ( -0) | 28.9% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.57% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.02% ( 0.01) | 45.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% ( 0.01) | 68.28% ( -0.01) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.16% ( 0) | 19.83% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.07% ( 0.01) | 51.92% ( -0.01) |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.56% ( 0) | 29.43% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.57% ( 0) | 65.43% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | York City |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.57% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.06% 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.34% Total : 28.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |