Segunda Division | 1st Leg
Jun 16, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere
Real Oviedo1 - 0Espanyol
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Eibar 0-2 Real Oviedo
Wednesday, June 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Wednesday, June 12 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Espanyol 0-0 Sporting Gijon
Thursday, June 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Thursday, June 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division
We said: Real Oviedo 1-1 Espanyol
Espanyol are such a difficult side to beat, and we are not expecting the Catalan team to lose this contest. Real Oviedo deserve huge respect for their display in the semi-finals, though, and we believe that a tight first leg will end with the spoils being shared. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 46.85%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 23.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | Espanyol |
| 46.85% | 29.2% | 23.94% |
| Both teams to score 39.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
