Serie B | Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Palermo5 - 2Modena
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Modena.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cittadella 3-3 Palermo
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
33
Last Game: Modena 1-0 Pisa
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, March 11 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
39
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palermo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Modena |
44.84% ( -0.36) | 26.16% ( -0.07) | 29% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
