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Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 13, 2022 at 4.05pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Rennes

Lyon
2 - 4
Rennes

Traore (59' og.), Dembele (82' pen.)
Mendes (11'), Ndombele (20')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Bourigeaud (11'), Santamaria (13'), Majer (45+1'), Terrier (49')
Truffert (27'), Doku (68'), Gomis (80')

Preview: Lyon vs. Rennes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking to rise into the top three of the Ligue 1 table - for a few hours at least - Rennes travel to the Groupama Stadium to do battle with Lyon on Sunday afternoon.

Les Rouge et Noir lost 2-0 to Leicester City in the Europa Conference League in midweek, while their hosts prevailed against Porto in the second tier of continental competition.


Match preview

Lyon's Lucas Paqueta celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 9, 2022© Reuters

The less said about their stark drop-off in league fortunes the better, but Lyon proved that they do indeed belong in Europe when they made the journey to the Estadio do Dragao to meet ex-Champions League competitors Porto on Thursday night.

Peter Bosz's side claimed a 1-0 advantage at half time in their Europa League last-16 battle as Lucas Paqueta struck the game's only goal in the 59th minute, with Porto losing Pepe to injury during the break and paying the price for it.

A spot in the last eight is now in Lyon's hands ahead of Porto's visit to France, and Les Gones were in blistering form during their last league outing against Lorient - crushing the relegation candidates 4-1 to end a two-game winless run in the division.

Lyon are by no means out of the race for Europe, as Bosz's side are currently languishing in ninth position and are three points adrift of Strasbourg in the Europa Conference League spot, but Les Gones will want to dream bigger than that.

Going down the Europa League route may be Lyon's best chance of returning to the continental table in 2022-23, and having lost just twice at home in the league all season - second only to Paris Saint-Germain in that regard - Rennes have their work cut out to extend their winning streak.

Bruno Genesio, now in charge of Rennes, pictured in 2019© Reuters

While Lyon were busy making progress in the Europa League, Rennes have seen their hopes of success in the Europa Conference League take a significant hit, with Leicester City gaining a 2-0 advantage in the first leg of their last-16 battle.

Marc Albrighton drew first blood for the Premier League side on the half-hour mark before turning provider for Kelechi Iheanacho to make sure of the result with seconds remaining, as Bruno Genesio's side were given a harsh reality check amid an impressive domestic run.

There were shades of Mesut Ozil as Benjamin Bourigeaud's effort hit the turf before looping into the net over Angers goalkeeper Danijel Petkovic last weekend, and Gaetan Laborde was also on target for Genesio's men in that 2-0 win - their third on the bounce in Ligue 1.

With Marseille struggling for form, a point for Rennes against Lyon would be enough to see them temporarily leapfrog Les Olympiens into third place before Jorge Sampaoli's side take on Brest, with Les Rouge et Noir's staggering record of 53 goals scored propelling them right into Champions League contention.

On a more bitter and alarming note, six of Rennes' last seven away games in all competitions have now ended in defeat following the first-leg loss to Leicester, but they served Lyon a slice of humble pie with a 4-1 thumping of Les Gones at Roazhon Park back in November.

Lyon Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W

Lyon form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W

Rennes Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Rennes form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Rennes' Jeremy Doku celebrates scoring their second goal with teammate on November 28, 2021© Reuters

Lyon did not pick up any fresh injury concerns in the first-leg win over Porto, but defenders Jerome Boateng (hamstring) and Sinaly Diomande (ankle) remain out of contention.

Teenage protege Rayan Cherki is battling to be fit before the end of the season owing to a broken foot - the same can be said for Lenny Pintor and his ACL issue - but both men would struggle to stake their claims for places right now.

Bosz will surely be tempted to stick with the same XI from Thursday night, but should fatigue come into play, Jason Denayer, Houssem Aouar and Tino Kadewere are all ready to be called upon.

Likewise, Rennes also have a few casualties ahead of gameweek 28, with centre-back Loic Bade (groin) and attacker Kamaldeen Sulemana (back) amongst them.

Lesley Ugochukwu's ankle injury had also rendered him a major doubt for this contest, and it will still be too soon for Romain Salin or Jeremy Gelin to return to the fold either.

Genesio will surely consider re-introducing Lovro Majer into the first XI for some creative inspiration that was lacking on Thursday night, as Serhou Guirassy and Martin Terrier battle for the opportunity to join Laborde up front.

Lyon possible starting lineup:
Lopes; Dubois, Mendes, Lukeba, Emerson; Aouar, Caqueret; Faivre, Paqueta, Ekambi; Dembele

Rennes possible starting lineup:
Gomis; Traore, Aguerd, Omari, Meling; Santamaria, Martin; Bourigeaud, Majer, Terrier; Laborde


SM words green background

We say: Lyon 2-2 Rennes

Fatigue and enforced alterations could impact both managers' thinking this weekend, but the attacking talent on both sides is not up for debate, and an entertaining affair could be in store here.

Rennes' abysmal away form has been a stark contrast to their free-scoring ways at Roazhon Park, but with Lyon still proving a touch inconsistent, Genesio's side can return to their prolific domestic form and claim the point that will be enough to lift them into the podium spots.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 52.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Lyon vs Rennes

Lyon
56.5%
Draw
30.4%
Rennes
13.0%
46
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


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