Modena

2 - 2

Palermo

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.