MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 16:32:34| >> :600:711359:711359:
Fiorentina logo
Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Basel

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Basel

Cabral (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diouf (71'), Amdouni (90+2')
Nuhu (59'), Vogel (67'), Burger (72'), Ndoye (78')

The Match

Match Report

Basel come from a goal down to beat Fiorentina 2-1 in the first leg of their Europa Conference League semi-final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Basel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Basel had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Basel win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawBasel
62.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 19.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.06% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)38.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)61.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)11.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.11% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)36.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)36.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.78% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 62.98%
    Basel 17.06%
    Draw 19.95%
FiorentinaDrawBasel
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 62.98%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.95%
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.06%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Basel

Fiorentina
82.5%
Draw
10.5%
Basel
7.0%
143
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2015 6pm
Group Stage
Basel
2-2
Fiorentina
Suchy (40'), Elneny (74')
Safari (22'), Bjarnason (26'), Janko (45'), Suchy (65'), Zuffi (78')
Bernardeschi (23', 36')
Rodriguez (45'), Badelj (45'), Valero (75')
Roncaglia (26')
Sep 17, 2015 8.05pm
Group Stage
Fiorentina
1-2
Basel
Kalinic (3')
Roncaglia (35')
Rodriguez (65')
Bjarnason (71'), Elneny (79')
Xhaka (34'), Suchy (57'), Janko (83')
rhs 2.0
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3Arsenal105321711618
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5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
9Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
10Brentford94141818013
11Fulham93331212012
12Bournemouth93331111012
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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