Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sirius win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sirius win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sirius would win this match.

Result
Sirius	Draw	Kalmar
38.24% ( 0.17)	25.26% ( -0.05)	36.49% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 56.79% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.11% (

0.2)

46.89% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.85% (

0.18)

69.14% (

-0.19)

Sirius Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.84% (

0.18)

24.16% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.52% (

0.25)

58.48% (

-0.26)

Kalmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89% (

0.02)

25.11% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19% (

0.03)

59.81% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Sirius 38.24%

Kalmar 36.49%

Draw 25.26%

Sirius	Draw	Kalmar
1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 38.24%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.26%	0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 36.49%