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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Bristol City |
48.28% ( -0.3) | 24.25% ( -0.03) | 27.46% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 56.42% ( 0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.3% ( 0.35) | 45.69% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.98% ( 0.33) | 68.02% ( -0.33) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.98% ( 0.01) | 19.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.42% ( 0.02) | 50.58% ( -0.02) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% ( 0.43) | 30.33% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% ( 0.51) | 66.52% ( -0.51) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 48.28% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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