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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Bristol City

Stoke
2 - 2
Bristol City

Koumas (2'), Moran (14')
Bae (45+1'), Moran (74'), Thompson (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wells (50', 52')
Williams (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Bristol City
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-1 Bristol City

Both teams are experiencing a positive run of results as they approach this game, making them appear rather evenly matched, suggesting that a draw is likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
48.28% (-0.303 -0.3) 24.25% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03) 27.46% (0.33 0.33)
Both teams to score 56.42% (0.357 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.3% (0.349 0.35)45.69% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.98% (0.331 0.33)68.02% (-0.33199999999999 -0.33)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.98% (0.013000000000005 0.01)19.02% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.42% (0.022999999999996 0.02)50.58% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.66% (0.428 0.43)30.33% (-0.431 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.51 0.51)66.52% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 48.28%
    Bristol City 27.46%
    Draw 24.25%
Stoke CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 48.28%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.65% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.25%
0-1 @ 6.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.1% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.048 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 27.46%

How you voted: Stoke vs Bristol City

Stoke City
35.4%
Draw
45.8%
Bristol City
18.8%
48
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Stoke
4-0
Bristol City
Cundle (25'), Campbell (45'), Manhoef (45+2', 49')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bristol City
2-3
Stoke
Bell (5'), Wells (15')
Weimann (90+6')
Leris (20'), Haksabanovic (47'), Lowe (89')
Tchamadeu (90+5')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 40
Stoke
1-2
Bristol City
Powell (36')
Vyner (72'), Mehmeti (85')
Dec 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Bristol City
1-2
Stoke
Wells (33')
Delap (45+2'), Brown (57')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Stoke
0-1
Bristol City

Brown (45+3'), Fletcher (45+3')
Dasilva (84')
Bentley (45+3'), Williams (45+3'), Atkinson (76'), Martin (80')
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
19Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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